FX Island

Saving is sin, and spending is virtue…check out which country rank number 1 and last in current account balance.

Interesting article written by an Indian Economist:

Rank, Country, Current Account Balance (million US$)

1 People’s Republic of China (PRC) 179,100
2 Japan 174,400
3 Germany 134,800
4 Russia 105,300

………who is at number 163.  Find out here.

Japanese save a lot. They do not spend much. Also Japan exports far more than it imports. Has an annual trade surplus of over 100 billions. Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.

Americans spend, save little. Also US imports more than it exports. Has an annual trade deficit of over $400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered strong and trusted to get stronger.

But where from do Americans get money to spend?

They borrow from Japan, China and even India. Virtually others save for the US to spend. Global savings are mostly invested in US, in dollars. more…

If there’s one question that investors have asked themselves over the past year and a half, it’s that one. If only I had acted differently, they say. If only, if only, if only.

Yet here’s the problem: While we know that we made investment mistakes, and vow not to repeat them, most people have only the vaguest sense of what those mistakes were, or, more important, why they made them. Why did we think and feel and behave as we did? Why did we act in a way that today, in hindsight, seems so obviously stupid? Only by understanding the answer to these questions can we begin to improve our financial future.

This is where behavioral finance comes in. Most investors are intelligent people, neither irrational nor insane. But behavioral finance tells us we are also normal, with brains that are often full and emotions that are often overflowing. And that means we are normal smart at times, and normal stupid at others. more…

It’s unclear whether the economy has hit bottom or not. Investment markets are moving up. Jobless rates didn’t get any worse. “Cash for clunkers” has given the auto industry a real boost. And stimulus funds are slowly making their way into the real world. So, at the risk of tempting fate, it’s probably safe to venture outdoors once more. The sky will not be falling. Life as we know it will not be ending. There will be a World Series in the fall, and college stadiums will be jammed with fans.

Before moving on to better times, however, let’s think a bit about how we’ve responded to the big problems that began emerging in 2006 and 2007. What are some of the clear money lessons we’ve learned? Almost by definition, these lessons seem very obvious today. But our children and grandchildren will forget many of them, just as we forgot the hard-knocks lessons of our parents and grandparents. Here’s some starter advice: more…

Long-time personal finance columnist Scott Burns writes that by working for four summers starting at age 16, putting the money in a Roth IRA, investing it wisely and waiting until age 67, it’s simple to become a millionaire. That’s the 51-year plan. But what if you’re not that patient – or that young? Lucky for you, there are many ways to hit the million-dollar mark, but the faster you try to get there, the harder it becomes.

$1 Million the Hard Way

Let’s say you want to become a millionaire in five years. If you’re starting from scratch, online millionaire calculators (which return a variety of results given the same inputs) estimate that you’ll need to save anywhere from $13,000 to $15,500 a month and invest it wisely enough to earn an average of 10% a year. That means taking calculated risks, diversifying and avoiding investment fees like loads and broker commissions. more…

In developing our options research methodology, we have taken many lessons from Warren Buffett, whose philosophies are also a touchstone of our equity research. One way the Oracle of Omaha shares his lessons is through  Berkshire Hathaway’s BRK.B annual letters to shareholders.

In his 2008 letter, Buffett discusses his derivatives positions and the mark-to-market losses on those positions last year. The background discussion of this topic is an excellent read for investors seeking a basic understanding of the involvement of derivatives in the financial crisis.

Most interesting for us as option investors is that, despite his public criticism of derivatives as “financial instruments of mass destruction,” Buffett wrote long-dated put options on many publicly traded indexes. In Berkshire’s 2008 letter, he discusses those positions and his thoughts about options and the Black-Scholes model (the most widely used mathematical model for valuing options). We thought it would be useful to summarize the insights from his letter for our option investors and those who are curious about options. more…

So, Bernard Madoff has been sentenced to life plus a century and a quarter in federal prison for destroying the lives of thousands — tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands — of innocent men and women. That’s a good thing, and I think we can assume that he won’t enjoy his prison time a great deal. Many friends of mine from the Nixon days went to prison, and I can tell you that none of them enjoyed it much (although former Nixon aide Chuck Colson did start a prison fellowship that has done great work). But now that Madoff is in prison for good, many questions remain: more…

Lehman Brothers Holdings

Rank: 1
Date of bankruptcy filing: 09/15/08
Assets: $691 billion

One of the biggest calamities of the current recession is the fall of the once highly regarded (and onetime fourth-largest) Wall Street investment firm, which was forced to file for bankruptcy protection last September, the largest corporate filing in the history of U.S. bankruptcy court. As a result, the company’s North American investment banking and trading businesses and New York City headquarters were sold to British bank Barclays. Some of Lehman’s U.S. businesses, including wealth management firm Neuberger-Berman, continue to operate as stand-alone entities under new ownership. And because of the company’s global reach, its bankruptcy proceedings are complex, ongoing, and have resulted in the closing of 80 of the bank’s smaller subsidiaries. more…

It’s being touted as a big win for consumers — but the new credit card legislation that President Obama signed into law Friday hardly means that cardholders can start swiping that plastic worry-free.

In fact, as the new rules kick in (most will go into effect nine months after the president signs the bill, while others will kick in as early as 90 days afterward)  and banks start curtailing the abusive practices this legislation reins in, other practices will likely emerge that can hurt consumers just as badly. “The pendulum may have swung in the wrong direction”, says Dennis Moroney, research director and senior analyst for TowerGroup, a research and advisory-services firm focused exclusively on the financial-services industry. “The banks now have to respond to these changes.”

more…