FX Island

There is nothing new about offshore to banks, investment funds and other types of financial institution such as forex trading companies and insurance; most of them long ago set up offshore branches in order to service multinational corporations, to facilitate trade, and to provide investment management for high-net-worth individual customers.

Some offshore jurisidictions have developed as centres for particular types of offshore financial service: thus, there are hundreds of banks in the Caymans, and several thousand investment funds in Luxembourg, and British Virgin Islands (BVI).

In recent years, growing financial awareness has created strong demand for offshore financial services among a wider community of customers; this is especially true of offshore investment funds. Even so, offshore financial services have tended to remain the preserve of larger companies or of relatively wealthy and sophisticated individuals – transaction costs are high and information not always easy to come by.
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Those trading in the foreign-exchange market (forex) rely on the same two basic forms of analysis that are used in the stock market: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. The uses of technical analysis in forex are much the same: price is assumed to reflect all news, and the charts are the objects of analysis. But unlike companies, countries have no balance sheets, so how can fundamental analysis be conducted on a currency?

Since fundamental analysis is about looking at the intrinsic value of an investment, its application in forex entails looking at the economic conditions that affect the valuation of a nation’s currency. Here we look at some of the major fundamental factors that play a role in the movement of a currency. more…

Saving is sin, and spending is virtue…check out which country rank number 1 and last in current account balance.

Interesting article written by an Indian Economist:

Rank, Country, Current Account Balance (million US$)

1 People’s Republic of China (PRC) 179,100
2 Japan 174,400
3 Germany 134,800
4 Russia 105,300

………who is at number 163.  Find out here.

Japanese save a lot. They do not spend much. Also Japan exports far more than it imports. Has an annual trade surplus of over 100 billions. Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.

Americans spend, save little. Also US imports more than it exports. Has an annual trade deficit of over $400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered strong and trusted to get stronger.

But where from do Americans get money to spend?

They borrow from Japan, China and even India. Virtually others save for the US to spend. Global savings are mostly invested in US, in dollars. more…

Long-time personal finance columnist Scott Burns writes that by working for four summers starting at age 16, putting the money in a Roth IRA, investing it wisely and waiting until age 67, it’s simple to become a millionaire. That’s the 51-year plan. But what if you’re not that patient – or that young? Lucky for you, there are many ways to hit the million-dollar mark, but the faster you try to get there, the harder it becomes.

$1 Million the Hard Way

Let’s say you want to become a millionaire in five years. If you’re starting from scratch, online millionaire calculators (which return a variety of results given the same inputs) estimate that you’ll need to save anywhere from $13,000 to $15,500 a month and invest it wisely enough to earn an average of 10% a year. That means taking calculated risks, diversifying and avoiding investment fees like loads and broker commissions. more…

In developing our options research methodology, we have taken many lessons from Warren Buffett, whose philosophies are also a touchstone of our equity research. One way the Oracle of Omaha shares his lessons is through  Berkshire Hathaway’s BRK.B annual letters to shareholders.

In his 2008 letter, Buffett discusses his derivatives positions and the mark-to-market losses on those positions last year. The background discussion of this topic is an excellent read for investors seeking a basic understanding of the involvement of derivatives in the financial crisis.

Most interesting for us as option investors is that, despite his public criticism of derivatives as “financial instruments of mass destruction,” Buffett wrote long-dated put options on many publicly traded indexes. In Berkshire’s 2008 letter, he discusses those positions and his thoughts about options and the Black-Scholes model (the most widely used mathematical model for valuing options). We thought it would be useful to summarize the insights from his letter for our option investors and those who are curious about options. more…

As the historic market collapse felled many investors, a handful set themselves apart by scoring big profits.

Now, several of these money managers expect more bad times ahead, including struggles for consumers, limp earnings and a possible surge of inflation.

They also see pockets of opportunity.

George Soros is bullish on China, India and Brazil. John Paulson is investing in distressed debt, residential mortgages, even companies in bankruptcy proceedings. Alan Fournier, a lesser-known investor with a strong track record, likes some health-care shares, while James Melcher, also successful lately, likes corporate bonds.

“We’re trying to make hay while the sun’s still shining,” says Mr. Fournier, who runs $2.8 billion Pennant Capital. “Maybe we can rally through the summer, perhaps for another year, but there are a lot of difficult issues that we’re going to have to deal with.”

Mr. Soros is just as wary. The renowned 78-year-old investor and philanthropist calls the current terrain a “trading market,” saying in a recent interview that investors should take profits when shares surge, even if they look promising long term.  more…

You don’t have to be a daily trader to take advantage of the forex market – every time you travel overseas and exchange your money into a foreign currency, you are participating in the foreign exchange (forex) market. According to the 2007 Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivative Market Activity conducted by the Bank for International Settlements, the forex market generated $3.2 trillion dollars worth of transactions each day. This makes the forex market the quiet giant of finance, dwarfing over all other capital markets in its world.

Despite this market’s overwhelming size, when it comes to trading currencies, the concepts are simple. Let’s take a look at some of the basic concepts that all forex investors need to understand.

Eight Majors
Unlike the stock market, where investors have thousands of stocks to choose from, in the currency market, you only need to follow eight major economies and then determine which will provide the best undervalued or overvalued opportunities. These following eight countries make up the majority of trade in the currency market:

1. United States
2. Eurozone (the ones to watch are Germany, France, Italy and Spain)
3. Japan
4. United Kingdom
5. Switzerland
6. Canada
7. Australia
8. New Zealand

These economies have the largest and most sophisticated financial markets in the world. By strictly focusing on these eight countries, we can take advantage of earning interest income on the most credit worthy and liquid instruments in the financial markets. more…

So, Bernard Madoff has been sentenced to life plus a century and a quarter in federal prison for destroying the lives of thousands — tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands — of innocent men and women. That’s a good thing, and I think we can assume that he won’t enjoy his prison time a great deal. Many friends of mine from the Nixon days went to prison, and I can tell you that none of them enjoyed it much (although former Nixon aide Chuck Colson did start a prison fellowship that has done great work). But now that Madoff is in prison for good, many questions remain: more…

Thank you, fellow taxpayers, for your generous contributions to the Angelo Mozilo defense fund. Bank of America(BAC Quote) confirmed on Tuesday it is covering the legal fees for the former Countrywide CEO who has been charged with securities fraud and insider trading. BofA, America’s biggest bank, says it is obligated to shell out for Mozilo’s defense as a result of an indemnity clause in place when he ran Countrywide.
The Securities and Exchange Commission filed civil charges against Countrywide’s co-founder last Thursday, alleging he raked in more than $139 million of improper profits by exercising stock options in 2006 and 2007 while the nation’s housing market and Countrywide’s finances were collapsing. more…

WASHINGTON – The Treasury Department has approved 10 of the nation’s largest banks to repay $68 billion in government bailout money.

The department on Tuesday said the banks, which were not named, will be allowed to repay the money they received from the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program created by Congress last October at the height of the financial crisis.

The banks have been eager to get out of the program to escape government restrictions such as caps on executive compensation.

Among the banks that last month passed government “stress tests” and confirmed that they received permission to repay the bailout funds were: JPMorgan Chase & Co., American Express Co., U.S. Bancorp, Capital One Financial Corp., Bank of New York Mellon Corp. and BB&T Corp. more…